NBA Draft

3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 1/6/22

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

Here we’ll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Marcus Smart Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+156)

Our model has Marcus Smart making 1.7 threes today, and we’re getting a lovely +156 number here.

Smart is going up against the New York Knicks, a team that allows the sixth-highest three-point attempt rate (43.0%). He’s taken at least four three-pointers in four of his last five games, and he’s hit multiple triples in three of the last four games.

This looks like a great bet to attack.

Marcus Morris Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-166)

Another Marcus over made threes prop — this time for Marcus Morris.

The -166 number is hard to swallow, but our algorithm loves this one as we project Morris to make 3.2 trifectas against the Phoenix Suns.

Morris has played four straight games with Paul George out of the lineup, and he’s logged at least 27 minutes in three of them, with the exception being a 24-minute outing last time out in an 18-point loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While there’s blowout risk tonight with the Suns an 11.5-point favorite, Morris should get to the over. He’s taken an average of 14.7 shots and 5.5 threes in the last four games. Those numbers jump to 16.7 and 6.0 if we take out the Minny game.

Kevon Looney Under 6.5 Points (-106)

Oddly Kevon Looney has scored exactly six or eight points in each of his past seven games. The game before this quirky run, he goose-egged in the points column.

Looney hasn’t taken more than seven shots in a game since December 13th, a span of 10 contents. While there will be shots up for grabs tonight in the Golden State Warriors‘ offense with Stephen Curry looking unlikely to play, Looney’s usage rate actually drops by 1.7 percentage points — to 11.6% — with Curry off the floor this year, per RotoGrinders CourtIQ.

We project Looney for 5.9 points, so I’m siding with the under.

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